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Monday, March 22, 2010

Baseball Stadiums and Building Your Fantasy Rosters - Part 2

ESPN recently came out with a baseball article detailing how "pitcher or hitter" friendly each ball park has played over the past couple seasons. You are welcome to check out the article over at ESPN.com.

The ManSpeak feels this provides an opportuntiy to evaluate which players become "unattractive" based off these rankings. Here's what we have compiled for the upcoming 2010 Fantasy Baseball season.

Unattractive
Jason Bay - OF - New York Mets - Citi Field (#25 Ranked Hitters Park)
Bay leaves the Green Monster, which he used to his advantage for pop fly homers and doubles, for Citi Field, which was the hardest place in the Big Leagues for right handed hitters to hit bombs (ask David Wright, 10 HRs last year) in its first season.  Last season, Bay put up bigger numbers than he has in the past, so he is bound to come back to his averages, especially after his large free-agent contract.  He'll find hitting it over the fence and running in that cavernous outfield at Citi Field unpleasant in his first of five years with the Mets.  Fantasy owners beware, as he isn't sharing any of that paycheck with you. 

Milton Bradley - OF - Seattle Mariners - Safeco Field (#27 Ranked Hitters Park)
There were plenty of reasons to stay away from Milton Bradley before, but now that he plays in Safeco, you shouldn't consider drafting him prior to the 150th pick.  Don't look for lightning in a bottle, also known as 2008, where he hit .321 with 22 homeruns.  That was in Texas, which is the #2 best place to hit.  One has to wonder if Bradley will even stay on the field, and if he does, look for numbers more like when he was depressed in a Cubs uniform last season.  The key question is, which sucker team will pick him up for 2011? 

Jake Peavy - SP - Chicago White Sox - US Cellular Field (#7 Ranked Hitters Park)
Peavy has had a tough go of it the last 18 months.  He didn't throw well in the baseball classic last season, and was hurt most of last season with the Padres.  He did come back to throw the ball well in September for the White Sox, but he was fresh by then.  Pitching in a small park for the first time (coming #29 of  29 hitters park in San Diego) look for Peavy's ERA to balloon at hitter friend US Cellular Field.  Plus, he has a lot of mileage on that jerky motion and the injury bug could bite again, even if his new digs don't bother him. 


Rich Harden - SP - Texas Rangers - Rangers Ballpark in Arlington (#2 Ranked Hitters Park)
The Rangers made a splash getting Harden over the offseason to bolster a young, improving pitching staff.  The problem with Harden, he is a 5 foot shelf meant to rise up to a 30 foot ceiling.  Don't expect for much improvement on 4.09 ERA in the that hot box in Texas.  His strikeouts are attractive, but he only gave owners a quality start 54% as he throws too many pitches in the early innings. 

Each of these players have performed at high levels in the past.  For the 2010 Fantasy Baseball season, the ManSpeak would advise you stay away as their ball parks could truly have major impacts on their return on investment. 

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